"People should be allowed to have a choice as the vaccines are not very effective in any event.
Why are you surprised Doug ? "
"People should be allowed to have a choice"
Up here we have a choice Red, but most folks are taking the sensible one!
I have never liked to get into political discussions (exception was a response to an unacceptable Trump type post last year- someone had to draw the line!) , so I won't now, but I'll continue to squash such discussions - until I'm voted out!😁
So; to keep this on the 'biological' 😮🙈 level!
To answer your question first Red, (and to the 3 folks who liked Nerys' surprising post),
Up to now I had considered Nerys to be a very sensible and level headed lady.
Thus I was most surprised and disappointed that she appeared to swallow your apparently ill informed comments.
Before I take your post apart an initial comment-
"This Govt is asking over 60s to register now for your jab........
..I don't think I will bother even to register but simply carry on taking basic precautions "
If this is only a political conspiracy what are you taking 'basic precautions' from?
The choice is yours. I've made mine; 1st AstraZeneca jab last Wednesday.
Why AstraZeneca?
See below, re efficiency of vaccines, where I debunk more of your ill informed comments piece by piece!
PATIENCE WARNING: Folks: The rest of this post will be somewhat longer than the usual posts!!
Stick with it. It might help someone make up their mind!
At least I hope it will set the record straight, from a northern hemisphere aspect!
"Having worked with medical researcher's for seven years learned that viruses mutate quickly "
I don't know how far back those seven years are Red but it doesn't really matter; that has been common knowledge for decades, which is why the Anti Flu vaccination has to be updated annually (had mine in November), and research on the current Corona virus SARS-2 Covid19 and variants/mutations is ongoing apace in many many labs around the world.
BTW: the 'Corona' virus type, so called, since 1968, apparently because of it's similarity in appearance to the Sun's corona when the main disc is blended out, has been known for years. Various minor and not so minor ailments are also attributed to it including the common cold -
'The scientific name Coronavirus was accepted as a genus name by the International Committee for the Nomenclature of Viruses (later renamed International Committee on Taxonomy of Viruses) in 1971. As the number of new species increased, the genus was split into four genera, namely Alphacoronavirus, Betacoronavirus, Deltacoronavirus, and Gammacoronavirus in 2009. The common name coronavirus is used to refer to any member of the subfamily Orthocoronavirinae. As of 2020, 45 species are officially recognised."
"Although it is widely believed that this is a virus produced in a lab ..."
Widely believed by whom? This theory has largely been debunked. The most likely source is generally agreed amongst leading specialists to be a mutation derived from an animal intermediate host, as was the case with Bird Flu and Swine Flu, in this case most probably a bat.
"... it has not lost it's capability to mutate as seen by the various strains already around"
Why would it lose that capability just because it has allegedly been 'synthesised'?
On the other hand, it points more towards a natural mutation through an intermediate animal host.
"... here in SA we have two - and there are many more variants around the world..........."
Is that the 'political endemic' that you are taking precautions from Red??
"Vaccinations such as those for smallpox which most of us had as kids are tried and tested for years before being put into use. These (presumably you mean the current Covid-19 vaccines Red) have all been rushed into production. " Oh come on! Spare us Red please!🙄
'The smallpox vaccine was the first vaccine to be developed against a contagious disease. In 1796, the British doctor Edward Jenner demonstrated that an infection with the relatively mild cowpox virus conferred immunity against the deadly smallpox virus. '
And Dr Jenner proved that without all the HiTech we now have!
More relevant might have been the development of the Polio vaccine Red.
THAT surely affected more of our generation.
In the last two hundred years medicinal research and production technology has advanced astronomically, esp over the last 100. Just consider the 1918 Flu epidemic!
'The death toll is typically estimated to have been somewhere between 20 million and 50 million, although estimates range from a conservative 17 million to a possible high of 100 million, making it one of the deadliest pandemics in human history.'
Back then they didn't have a clue what was wrong or of the medical instrumentation or research technology and production facilities that we now have - and millions and millions died.
And there wasn't even any jet setting around the world or cheap holiday anywhere you wanted back then! Think about that for a moment or two!
Does anyone want a repeat of that?
"A high risk friend who has had Covid was informed it is entirely possible to catch it again - she had taken every precaution possible to prevent being infected - a lass I was at school with also caught it - her husband in his eighties fighting cancer died from it - she despite just having won a battle with cancer and having moderate COPD recovered quickly. Also it seems that not all people with co morbidity succumb to Covid - and youngsters who have none do."
There are always exceptions and generic conditions which affect how any disease or immunisation will affect a particular person. One or two sad exceptions are NO justification for burying your head in the sand.
"All that and the proven fact that a vaccine developed for one strain wont work on another makes me doubt the value of any of the makes of vaccines available - so I don't think I will bother even to register but simply carry on taking basic precautions "
'the proven fact that a vaccine developed for one strain wont work on another'
On the contrary; it HAS BEEN PROVEN that Biontech, Moderna and AstraZeneca are also effective against the current mutations; so called British or South African (you can have that back!). Also development is proceeding apace on new variants, e.g. from Brazil - not just yours.
OK if you don't personally don't want to get immunised, or believe in the pandemic, on your own head be it, just don't come anywhere near Munich PLEASE!!
Red: try to relate the Covid19 numbers in SA, or your tiny community, to the many vast cities of Europe, Asia, the Americas, Australasia with millions of inhabitants, in contrast to your relatively isolated community (Pearly Beach) of approx 1000 souls at the southern tip of Africa. Your chances of coming in contact with a Covid-19 infectant are miniscule compared to ours. "Not far from Pearly Beach is Dyers Island, a breeding colony for jackass penguins.🙄"
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pearly_Beach
"I seriously believe that the world economy (apart from China's) has been wrecked needlessly by the lockdowns imposed - the emergency hospitals set up in the Cape were never used - the mortality rate is low and most people will be ill for a while and recover fully. Then the disease will die out as a lot of epidemiologists agree - so this would seem to be more of a political epidemic rather than a medical one........... "
Let's take this apart and look at it's elements.
"I seriously believe that the world economy (apart from China's) has been wrecked needlessly by the lockdowns imposed ..."
Reports that I have read seem to indicate that only those economies that have failed to take appropriate precautions in time, or are excessively dependant on tourism and business travel, or were incompetent/corrupt from the outset, have suffered any serious economic recession.
Bear in mind that many European countries, USA, Russia, China and India have invested billions in finding, producing and distributing the hopefully solution, or at least minimising, of this pandemic. What has your government contributed?
Also bear in mind that SA has a population of approx 60 Mio, spread over an area of ca 1,221,037 km2.
Germany, as just one contrast example, has 80+ million inhabitants (of which I am one) in just 357,022 km2. So your chances of contact with an infectious person are much lower than ours in Germany by a factor of around at least 5 (not allowing for mobility possibilities; isolation, population density, car, bus, train, plane etc!), or many areas of USA, and in my experience, also of Asia; China, Korea, much much smaller. Esp considering that most of us are living in cities of several hundred thousand to millions; e.g Munich Metro Area ~2.4 million.
"the emergency hospitals set up in the Cape were never used"
Congratulations! Was that due to low incidence of infection / illness, corresponding to low population density, lack of equipment, incompetence or what? I have seen your (and other MB members in SA comments about the SA Govt. and performance of utilities esp re electricity supply !)
"the mortality rate is low and most people will be ill for a while and recover fully."
How short sighted is that?
There are unfortunately many many documented cases where, whereas a Covid 19 illness has been survived, that the patient has suffered, and is still suffering, long term effects that prevent them from returning to their former professions and will leave them with serious effects from which they will most likely suffer for the rest of their lives.
"Then the disease will die out as a lot of epidemiologists agree - so this would seem to be more of a political epidemic rather than a medical one........... "
"Then the disease will die out as a lot of epidemiologists agree - "
Which, who?
Not one specialist that I have seen or have read about has said / written anything like that.
On the contrary; it is generally agreed that Covid-19 (like many other Corona type viruses) will be with us forever in one form or another, just like the Corona cold virus etc.
Therefore it is all the more important to take precautions now, that means us proletariat😉, and develop AND IMPLEMENT vaccines NOW, that means pharma companies and governments.
It has already been prognosticated that SARS2Covid19 will stay with us in one form or another forever, as the related common cold virus and flu viruses have for decades / centuries.
Which most likely means that we will need an annual refresher 'jab' to keep up with the newest variants - just like with the related flu virus.🤔
"so this would seem to be more of a political epidemic rather than a medical one........... "
I stand by my opening comment.
Whose politics is the pandemic benefiting? PLEASE don't come on with Trump's China Flu conspiracy! Who is paying for the consequences?
Certainly not the SA government!
Sorry about the long post folks, but someone had to draw the line and tell it like it is!
Like it or hate it, I'm afraid that's it folks.
We just gotta live with it!
Doug
"There is a great debate worldwide about having the vaccination or not."
Latest study results w.r.t. various vaccines-
Biontech/Pfizer
Latest study results (from Scotland) show that -
These vaccines reduce the risk of serious consequences and hospitalisation due to Covid-19 by 85% from the first dose.
German studies show an immunity of 58% 14 days after the first injection.
Moderna
Similar to Biontech and Pfizer; reduces the probability of a serious illness due to Covid-19 by 80% two weeks after the first vaccination.
German studies show an immunity of 52% 14 days after the first injection.
AstraZeneca (Which I and Gisela have just had😀)
The first of the two vaccinations of AstraZeneca, according to the data analysis of Scottish universities, reduces the probability of admission to hospital by up to 94%.
German studies show an immunity of 76% 22 days after the first injection.
Johnson & Johnson
Only one jab needed for full effect 😀
BUT: Typically the 'full effect' is 70% protection, effective ca 28 days after injection!🤔
NO DEBATE RED. MORE OF A NO BRAINER!😉
I don't know what filtered news / internet that you are seeing / reading down there Red but it sure don't seem to match what I'm seeing, reading and hearing from my own Doc up here.
At the end of the day - Yer pays yer money and takes yer choice!
But if you choose not to register and not to be immunised PLEASE DON'T GO ANYWHERE!
Least of all Munich!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic#Misinformation
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coronavirus
https://www.google.com/maps/place/Pearly+Beach,+7220,+South+Africa/@-34.6608221,19.4983825,14z/data=!3m1!4b1!4m5!3m4!1s0x1dce1f48c502140b:0xc058e74550b59849!8m2!3d-34.6579728!4d19.4883811?hl=en